Politico has a report stating the Obama campaign’s analysis of their own footing leading up to Election Day. Basically, their campaign is sticking to the belief that they’ve got this thing all sewn up. By all means, I’m not sure I would say anything much different to that narrative, if I were in their position. However, this also is a part of the necessary campaign strategy: reassure Democrat voters and donors that they can win, of course.
Then again, that’s a strategy which is usually used by the one chasing the lead.
Jim Messina, the Obama campaign manager, says, “In these final days, our map is set — unlike the Romney campaign which is flailing, trying to make the map different than it is.” Messina says this in light of the Romney campaign’s new actions of throwing ad funding to states like Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin, and now Pennsylvania. Politico writes:
The Romney campaign and their allies have gone up with last minute buys in states like Minnesota, Michigan and Wisconsin — all states expected to end up in Obama’s column. The Romney campaign says they’re simply expanding the map, but the Obama campaign says they’ve realized their pathway to victory is now implausible.
However, this analysis doesn’t make sense, especially given the fact that major battleground states aren’t shifting towards the President, but rather Romney’s. Romney’s moves do not indicate desperation, or the seeking of a new ‘path’ to the White House, but rather, the action conveys a sense that the Romney camp has money to blow and more flexibility than previously predicted. Also, states like Wisconsin are now under ‘toss up’ status.
Why would Romney simply give up on states like Ohio, especially in light of recent polling data, which shows major shifts of independents toward the GOP ticket?
Nevertheless, the Obama campaign must avoid the idea that Obama can lose. That’s the key to keeping the campaign funding flowing and early voters voting the incumbent. It doesn’t sound like Romney is playing Obama’s game …it sounds like the other way around.